Methodology

Why trust this data

The simulation code and data are open source, so the assumptions behind the published metrics can be inspected instead of taken on faith. Review the source artifacts in the blackjack repository.

Audit Path

How the Dataset Is Produced

01

Simulation Design

Fixed game configurations are run across deck count, penetration, rules, and strategy systems. Outputs are expectation values from repeated randomized runs.

02

RNG Description

Randomized shoe sequences use deterministic seeding and reproducible execution pipelines so dataset versions can be rebuilt and compared.

03

Convergence Approach

Each configuration runs until EV and variance estimates stabilize within a predefined tolerance band before publication.

04

Rulesets Tested

Rules include H17/S17 behavior and DAS. RSA and surrender are tracked as ruleset concepts, but they are currently not simulated in the EV data viewer dataset. Side bets and non-standard payouts are excluded.

05

Confidence Interpretation

Results are expectation values; variance and drawdown still apply. Real-world table conditions, dealer procedures, and player execution errors can shift outcomes.

06

Validation Notes

Validation compares aggregate metrics against benchmark references and internal consistency checks before publication.

Limitations

What This Data Does Not Claim

Expectation Values

Long-run averages describe simulated conditions. Individual sessions remain volatile and can diverge sharply from the mean.

Table Reality

Dealer procedures, penetration consistency, rule enforcement, heat, and execution errors are outside the static dataset.

Source Artifacts

Simulation source artifacts are published in the blackjack repository.